Game History
| Week |
Date |
Result |
Opponent |
Score |
ELO Before |
ELO Change |
ELO After |
Win Prob |
| 2 |
Aug 28 2025 |
L |
UCF
|
10-17 |
1549.4 |
-55.8
|
1493.6 |
72.4% |
| 3 |
Sep 6 2025 |
W |
Liberty
|
34-24 |
1493.6 |
+35.4
|
1529.0 |
50.5% |
| 4 |
Sep 13 2025 |
L |
Georgia Southern
|
34-41 |
1529.0 |
-48.1
|
1480.9 |
64.2% |
| 5 |
Sep 20 2025 |
W |
Murray State
|
45-10 |
1480.9 |
+0.0
|
1480.9 |
47.3% |
| 6 |
Sep 27 2025 |
L |
Southern Miss
|
25-42 |
1480.9 |
-70.5
|
1410.4 |
87.0% |
| 8 |
Oct 9 2025 |
W |
Sam Houston
|
29-27 |
1410.4 |
+42.4
|
1452.8 |
58.0% |
| 9 |
Oct 15 2025 |
W |
Delaware
|
38-25 |
1452.8 |
+5.4
|
1458.2 |
91.5% |
| 11 |
Oct 29 2025 |
W |
Middle Tennessee
|
24-21 |
1458.2 |
+10.3
|
1468.5 |
90.8% |
| 12 |
Nov 8 2025 |
W |
UTEP
|
30-27 |
1468.5 |
+15.1
|
1483.6 |
86.4% |
| 13 |
Nov 15 2025 |
W |
Kennesaw State
|
35-26 |
1483.6 |
+27.9
|
1511.5 |
59.9% |
| 14 |
Nov 22 2025 |
L |
Florida International
|
21-27 |
1511.5 |
-66.9
|
1444.6 |
83.5% |
| 15 |
Nov 29 2025 |
W |
Western Kentucky
|
37-34 |
1444.6 |
+36.5
|
1481.1 |
49.2% |
| 16 |
Dec 5 2025 |
L |
Kennesaw State
|
15-19 |
1481.1 |
-54.2
|
1426.9 |
56.3% |
| 18 |
Dec 16 2025 |
W |
Troy
|
17-13 |
1426.9 |
+50.6
|
1477.5 |
40.5% |